Planning in model-based reinforcement learning (RL) enables an agent to simulate potential future actions and outcomes using its learned model of the environment. Unlike model-free RL, which relies on trial-and-error interactions to learn policies directly, model-based methods use an internal representation of the environment dynamics (e.g., transition probabilities, reward functions) to predict outcomes. Planning leverages this model to evaluate sequences of actions before taking them in the real world, allowing the agent to make more informed decisions. For example, in a grid-world navigation task, the agent could simulate moving in different directions to determine the shortest path to a goal without physically exploring every route.
The core mechanism of planning involves generating and evaluating hypothetical trajectories. Techniques like Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) or value iteration use the model to “look ahead” by iteratively expanding possible action sequences and estimating their expected rewards. For instance, in a robotics application, a robot might simulate the outcomes of different motor commands to avoid collisions or optimize energy use. These simulations are computationally intensive but reduce the need for costly real-world interactions. Developers often balance planning depth (how far into the future to simulate) and computational efficiency—shallow planning might miss optimal paths, while deep planning becomes impractical for complex environments.
The primary advantage of planning is improved sample efficiency, as the agent learns faster by leveraging simulated experience. However, its effectiveness depends heavily on the accuracy of the learned model. If the model misrepresents the environment (e.g., due to incomplete data), planning can lead to suboptimal or unsafe decisions. To mitigate this, hybrid approaches like Dyna-Q combine real-world interactions with periodic model-based planning. For example, a self-driving car might use real sensor data to refine its model of road conditions while simultaneously simulating rare scenarios (e.g., sudden braking) to prepare for edge cases. Planning thus acts as a bridge between theoretical predictions and practical learning, enabling smarter exploration while managing computational trade-offs.